Female school enrollment drops 15% in targeted regions within 12 months
Resolves: Official UN or World Bank data confirms a 15% or greater decline in female school enrollment in Africa, Asia, or the Middle East compared to 2025 levels by 2027-07-05
user-generated· macro
Female school enrollment drops 15% in targeted regions within 12 mont…
Market overview
The withdrawal of the SHEFE program will lead to a measurable decline in female secondary and tertiary enrollment in the most affected regions. NGOs and local reports will document a 10-20% drop in participation rates.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-07-05
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Official UN or World Bank data confirms a 15% or greater decline in female school enrollment in Africa, Asia, or the Middle East compared to 2025 levels by 2027-07-05
Source: user-generated
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