S&P 500 declines 1% or more if April jobs added are 125,000 or fewer
user-generated· macro
S&P 500 declines 1% or more if April jobs added are 125,000 or fewer
Market overview
JPMorgan implies that weaker-than-expected job growth (≤125,000) could signal economic weakness, potentially reducing investor confidence. The S&P 500 would likely decline 1% or more in this scenario.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 90%
Source: user-generated
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