Fed holds rates steady through December 2026 amid high auction yields
Resolves: The Federal Reserve does not implement a rate cut at any FOMC meeting between 2026-07-31 and 2026-12-16, inclusive.
user-generated· macro
Fed holds rates steady through December 2026 amid high auction yields
Market overview
Despite the surge in 30-year yields, the Federal Reserve will delay rate cuts until at least December 2026 to avoid exacerbating long-term borrowing costs. Market pricing currently underestimates the Fed's reluctance to ease policy.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-16
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Reserve does not implement a rate cut at any FOMC meeting between 2026-07-31 and 2026-12-16, inclusive.
Source: user-generated
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