New York tax hikes lead to net outflow of high-income households
user-generated· macro
New York tax hikes lead to net outflow of high-income households
Market overview
The new tax measures will cause a net migration loss of at least 5,000 high-income households (incomes >$1M) from New York by the end of 2027, according to preliminary IRS data. The outflow will accelerate in the second half of 2026 as tax filings reflect the new rates.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
Source: user-generated
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