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USD/JPY falls below 145 by Q1 2027 amid GPIF bond purchases

Resolves: USD/JPY exchange rate (mid-market, Bloomberg or Reuters) is below 145 on March 31, 2027.

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user-generated· macro

USD/JPY falls below 145 by Q1 2027 amid GPIF bond purchases

Market overview

Increased domestic bond purchases by GPIF will reduce demand for foreign assets, including U.S. Treasuries, leading to yen appreciation. The currency pair is currently around 160, and the trend will accelerate as GPIF's portfolio shifts materially toward yen-denominated assets.

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Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2027-03-31

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Resolution criteria

USD/JPY exchange rate (mid-market, Bloomberg or Reuters) is below 145 on March 31, 2027.

Source: user-generated

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