S&P 500 drops 8% within 3 months of Iran escalation
user-generated· macro
S&P 500 drops 8% within 3 months of Iran escalation
Market overview
Any military action against Iran that disrupts oil supply or triggers market uncertainty will cause a sharp correction in equities. Historical patterns show 8% declines within 3 months of geopolitical escalations.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
Source: user-generated
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