zeitgeist· Macro & World
Will unemployment spike trigger stock market crashes by April 2027?
Market overview
This market tracks whether rising unemployment will dominate stock market swings by April 2027, signaling recession risks or policy shifts.
Macro & World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 45%
- Volume
- $61,000
- Closes
- 2027-04-28
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The market resolves to YES if the US unemployment rate shows a sustained upward trend and is explicitly cited by major financial news outlets as a key catalyst for significant stock market volatility in the period leading up to April 30, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
Source: zeitgeist
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