China opens consulate in Grenada by 2027
Resolves: China announces or opens a consulate in Grenada after US closure.
user-generated· geopolitics
China opens consulate in Grenada by 2027
Market overview
China establishes a new consulate in Grenada within 12 months of US closure.
geopolitics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-08-08
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
China announces or opens a consulate in Grenada after US closure.
Source: user-generated
More geopolitics markets
- Will global oil benchmarks (Brent/WTI) stay below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 55% Yes
- Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in a major active conflict zone by Q3 2026, leading to global oil benchmarks staying below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 30% Yes
- Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in at least one major active conflict zone by Q3 2026? — 60% Yes
- Maria Corina Machado enters Venezuela by Dec 31 2026 — 70% Yes
- Cuba's government collapses within 6 months if no invasion occurs — 60% Yes
- U.S. military blockade of Iranian vessels escalates before November elections — 75% Yes
- Cuban migration to the US increases by 15% in 2026 — 70% Yes
- US airstrikes on Houthis by January 2027 — 55% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…