RBI's FX reserves fall below $500B by end of 2026
Resolves: RBI foreign exchange reserves as reported in the IMF IFS database or RBI's weekly statistical supplements are below $500 billion on or before December 31, 2026.
user-generated· macro
RBI's FX reserves fall below $500B by end of 2026
Market overview
The RBI's record defense of the rupee in July 2026 has depleted forex reserves significantly. With ongoing pressure on the currency, reserves are projected to dip below the psychologically critical $500 billion threshold by December 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
RBI foreign exchange reserves as reported in the IMF IFS database or RBI's weekly statistical supplements are below $500 billion on or before December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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