Indian opposition Congress party gains polling lead by Q4 2026
Resolves: Independent polling organizations or agencies report Congress party approval ratings exceeding BJP's by at least 3 percentage points in India.
user-generated· geopolitics
Indian opposition Congress party gains polling lead by Q4 2026
Market overview
The opposition Congress party will capitalize on the award controversy, using it to rally public opinion against Modi's government. Polling data will show Congress leading Modi's BJP by at least 3% in national approval ratings by the end of Q4 2026.
geopolitics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Independent polling organizations or agencies report Congress party approval ratings exceeding BJP's by at least 3 percentage points in India.
Source: user-generated
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