U.S. reduces Canadian oil imports by 15% within 18 months
Resolves: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data shows Canadian oil imports to the U.S. drop by at least 15% compared to 2026 levels by December 31, 2027.
user-generated· macro
U.S. reduces Canadian oil imports by 15% within 18 months
Market overview
The new pipeline enables Canada to redirect 15% of its oil exports from U.S. Gulf Coast refiners to Ontario, reducing U.S. reliance. U.S. imports from Canada decline to 2.9 million barrels per day by December 2027.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data shows Canadian oil imports to the U.S. drop by at least 15% compared to 2026 levels by December 31, 2027.
Source: user-generated
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