Colombian coffee exports to the U.S. fall by 20% by December 2026
Resolves: Colombian coffee export volumes to the U.S. drop by 20% or more compared to the same period in 2025, as reported by Colombian Coffee Growers Federation (FNC) and U.S. Department of Agriculture.
user-generated· macro
Colombian coffee exports to the U.S. fall by 20% by December 2026
Market overview
Escalating tariffs between the U.S. and Colombia are expected to significantly reduce coffee trade flows. Colombia, a major Arabica producer, will likely divert exports to Europe or Asia.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Colombian coffee export volumes to the U.S. drop by 20% or more compared to the same period in 2025, as reported by Colombian Coffee Growers Federation (FNC) and U.S. Department of Agriculture.
Source: user-generated
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