Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25bps in December 2026 amid revised inflation data
Resolves: The Federal Open Market Committee reduces the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in a meeting concluding on or before December 16, 2026.
user-generated· macro
Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25bps in December 2026 amid revised inf…
Market overview
The Fed will cite the September 2026 PCE revision and improved inflation optics as justification to ease policy, despite core PCE remaining above target. Markets anticipate a dovish pivot following the data release.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-16
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Open Market Committee reduces the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in a meeting concluding on or before December 16, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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