S&P 500 energy sector index rises by 15% within 90 days of Hormuz closure
Resolves: S&P 500 Energy Select Sector Index (as reported by Bloomberg or S&P Global) increases by at least 15% from the closing price on the day of the first confirmed Hormuz closure event within the 90-day window following that event
S&P 500 energy sector index rises by 15% within 90 days of Hormuz clo…
Market overview
A sustained oil supply shock would boost energy sector profitability, leading to a strong rally in energy equities. The S&P 500 Energy Select Sector Index is projected to gain 15% or more within 90 days of any confirmed Hormuz closure event.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-04-12
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
S&P 500 Energy Select Sector Index (as reported by Bloomberg or S&P Global) increases by at least 15% from the closing price on the day of the first confirmed Hormuz closure event within the 90-day window following that event
Source: user-generated
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