zeitgeist· Macro & World
Will Iran shift FX or commodity markets 2% before June 2026?
Market overview
Will Iran trigger 2%+ swings in FX or commodity markets in one trading day before June 2026? This market gauges Iran’s potential to disrupt global financial stability.
Macro & World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 28%
- Volume
- $31,000
- Closes
- 2026-12-14
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
This market resolves as YES if Iran causes a single-session movement of 2% or more in any major FX or commodity market before Q2 2026. Otherwise, it resolves as NO.
Source: zeitgeist
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