China's Iranian crude oil imports drop below 500,000 barrels/day by Q1 2027
Resolves: China's monthly crude oil imports from Iran average below 500,000 barrels/day for the quarter ending March 31, 2027, per Bloomberg or equivalent data sources.
user-generated· macro
China's Iranian crude oil imports drop below 500,000 barrels/day by Q…
Market overview
Chinese imports of Iranian crude oil will continue declining due to strategic energy diversification and geopolitical risk aversion, falling below 500,000 barrels/day by March 31, 2027. This trend follows a 50% drop in June 2026 and aligns with China's accelerated green transition.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 85%
- Closes
- 2027-04-01
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
China's monthly crude oil imports from Iran average below 500,000 barrels/day for the quarter ending March 31, 2027, per Bloomberg or equivalent data sources.
Source: user-generated
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