Biden approval rating drops below 38% by 2027-12-15

Market overview

The scandal will significantly erode public trust, with polling showing Biden’s approval rating falling below 38% as the impeachment inquiry and classified documents probe dominate headlines. Consumer sentiment surveys will reflect broad disapproval.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2027-12-31

Source: user-generated

More macro markets

• Bank of Japan maintains negative rate policy through December 2026 — 65% Yes
• Germany GDP growth exceeds 2% in 2026 Q4 — 70% Yes
• California cannabis tax revenue exceeds $1.2 billion in 2027 — 75% Yes
• Bank of Japan remains on hold on rate hikes through Q3 2026 — 75% Yes
• Portugal and Greece see fastest U.S. visitor growth in 2027 — 65% Yes
• Oil production in Libya will decrease by 10% by Q1 2027 — 60% Yes
• Desert rain frog population to decline 30% by 2028 — 78% Yes
• U.S. GDP growth outpaces global average in 2027 — 75% Yes

Browse all macro markets →