Liberia’s GDP growth slows 0.3 percentage points due to drug bust fallout
Resolves: Liberia’s GDP growth rate for 2026 falls by at least 0.3 percentage points compared to the World Bank’s pre-bust forecast of 4.5% for 2026.
user-generated· macro
Liberia’s GDP growth slows 0.3 percentage points due to drug bust fal…
Market overview
The fallout from the cocaine bust will negatively impact Liberia’s economic confidence and investment climate, leading to a measurable slowdown in GDP growth. International investors and tourism may withdraw temporarily, affecting short-term economic performance.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Liberia’s GDP growth rate for 2026 falls by at least 0.3 percentage points compared to the World Bank’s pre-bust forecast of 4.5% for 2026.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% by Q4 2026 due to Fed oversight — 67% Yes
- Ukraine aid funding drops 20% in next federal budget cycle — 70% Yes
- US new business filings surpass 2026 record by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Fed holds interest rates steady through 2026 due to labor stability — 70% Yes
- Fed cuts rates within 6 months under Warsh — 70% Yes
- AI boosts oil production by 5%+ by 2027 — 70% Yes
- U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026 — 80% Yes
- Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…