Fed to cut interest rates by at least 100 basis points by 2026-12
Resolves: The Federal Reserve's effective federal funds rate is reduced by at least 100 basis points from its 2026-07-08 level, as confirmed by FOMC meeting statements.
user-generated· macro
Fed to cut interest rates by at least 100 basis points by 2026-12
Market overview
Persistent inflation easing and weakening labor market conditions are expected to prompt the Federal Reserve to pivot toward monetary easing. Market consensus points to multiple rate cuts by year-end.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Reserve's effective federal funds rate is reduced by at least 100 basis points from its 2026-07-08 level, as confirmed by FOMC meeting statements.
Source: user-generated
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