Fed maintains status quo through December 2026
Resolves: The effective federal funds rate remains unchanged at 3.5%-3.75% through the December 2026 FOMC meeting (December 9-10, 2026).
user-generated· macro
Fed maintains status quo through December 2026
Market overview
The Fed's next two meetings (July 29-30 and September 16-17) will result in no change to the federal funds rate, as officials remain divided and await clearer data. The outcome aligns with the 'family fight' characterization and minimal forward guidance.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The effective federal funds rate remains unchanged at 3.5%-3.75% through the December 2026 FOMC meeting (December 9-10, 2026).
Source: user-generated
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