UN Security Council fails to pass resolution on Iran crisis

Geopolitical tensions and US-Russia-China divisions will prevent the UN Security Council from agreeing on a binding resolution addressing the Iran-US escalation. A vote will either fail or result in a non-binding statement.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2026-08-25

More geopolitics markets

• Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in at least one major active conflict zone by Q3 2026? — 60% Yes
• Will global oil benchmarks (Brent/WTI) stay below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 55% Yes
• Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in a major active conflict zone by Q3 2026, leading to global oil benchmarks staying below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 30% Yes
• Lebanese government collapses by December 2027 due to crisis — 55% Yes
• Japan commits to new defense pact with India by December 2026 — 70% Yes
• US-EU diplomatic tensions rise over World Cup 2026 governance by October 2026 — 55% Yes
• Western leaders will not attend Russia’s Victory Day parade in 2027 — 90% Yes
• UEFA formally condemns FIFA disciplinary committee actions by December 2026 — 72% Yes

Browse all geopolitics markets →