Brent crude will exceed $90 per barrel by June 30, 2026

Market overview

OPEC+ production cuts will fall short of market expectations, tightening supply and pushing prices higher. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East will exacerbate supply risks.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

More macro markets

• Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
• S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
• Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
• Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
• Canadian dollar weakens against USD by 10% — 75% Yes
• Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
• NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes

Browse all macro markets →