user-generated· macro
Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027
Market overview
The Green Party's electoral surge—evidenced by mayoral victories and local council gains—will erode Labour's polling lead by at least 10 percentage points by the next general election. Historically dominant Labour strongholds are increasingly vulnerable to Green inroads.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
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