UK inflation exceeds 4% by December 2027

The Bank of England has warned of rising inflation due to energy price shocks, and the NEU argues pay does not match inflation. If the NEU's strike threat escalates, economic disruption could further fuel price pressures. Inflation data released by mid-December 2024 will confirm whether CPI exceeds 4%.

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2027-12-31