Elon Musk's stake in Tesla falls below 10% by 2027
Resolves: Musk's direct ownership stake in Tesla, as reported in a regulatory filing (e.g., 13F or Schedule 13D), is below 10% on or before 2027-01-31.
user-generated· leadership
Elon Musk's stake in Tesla falls below 10% by 2027
Market overview
Given Tesla's valuation approaching $1 trillion and ongoing regulatory scrutiny, Musk's personal stake is expected to dilute further due to stock sales, secondary offerings, or forced divestment. This would mark a significant loss of direct control over the company.
leadership prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-01-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Musk's direct ownership stake in Tesla, as reported in a regulatory filing (e.g., 13F or Schedule 13D), is below 10% on or before 2027-01-31.
Source: user-generated
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