Dow Jones Industrial Average falls below 38,000 by December 2026

Market overview

Persistent inflation concerns and potential Fed rate hikes into late 2026 are forecasted to weigh on blue-chip stocks, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average below 38,000 by December 31, 2026. This reflects historical sensitivity of industrial equities to rising borrowing costs.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Closes

2026-12-31

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