South Carolina redistricting session fails by June 30, 2026

Market overview

Partisan disagreements over district boundaries will prevent the special session from passing a new map before the June 30 deadline. The failure will trigger legal challenges and extend the current map into the 2026 elections.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

More legal markets

• Will new charges be filed related to Ghislaine Maxwell by Q2 2026? — 25% Yes
• Will new Alan Dershowitz documents be released by the DOJ in H1 2026? — 60% Yes
• Will Epstein Island be featured in a major documentary about the Epstein case? — 33% Yes
• Will Epstein 2008 Plea Deal make public statements about Epstein connections by end of 2026? — 19% Yes
• Will Epstein 2008 Plea Deal reach a settlement in Epstein-related lawsuits by H1 2026? — 19% Yes
• Will Alexander Acosta Plea Deal reach a settlement in Epstein-related lawsuits by 2026? — 57% Yes
• Will Ghislaine Maxwell be subpoenaed in connection with Epstein case by September 2026? — 60% Yes
• Will Epstein SDNY Indictment make public statements about Epstein connections by Q2 2026? — 33% Yes

Browse all legal markets →