South Carolina redistricting session fails by June 30, 2026

Market overview

Partisan disagreements over district boundaries will prevent the special session from passing a new map before the June 30 deadline. The failure will trigger legal challenges and extend the current map into the 2026 elections.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Source: user-generated

More legal markets

• DOJ launches new high-profile prosecution by 2027 — 70% Yes
• Supreme Court upholds TPS termination for South Sudan by 2027 — 75% Yes
• UK government fails to deport Shabir Ahmed by end of 2027 — 30% Yes
• Adeyemi Matthew receives prison sentence exceeding 5 years by 2027-03-31 — 85% Yes
• Disability charities file judicial review against Pip changes by 2028 — 60% Yes
• FIFA will impose additional sanctions on Donald Trump by December 2026 — 68% Yes
• OpenAI faces child safety lawsuit settlement by 2027-06-30 — 60% Yes
• South Sudan TPS holders lose status by Dec 2026 — 75% Yes

Browse all legal markets →