UK government fails to deport Shabir Ahmed by end of 2027
Resolves: Shabir Ahmed remains in the UK on or after 2027-12-31, despite legislative amendments intended to facilitate his deportation.
user-generated· legal
UK government fails to deport Shabir Ahmed by end of 2027
Market overview
Despite legislative changes, the UK government does not deport Shabir Ahmed to Pakistan by the end of 2027. This could occur due to delays in agreement with Pakistan, legal challenges, or other unforeseen obstacles.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 30%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Shabir Ahmed remains in the UK on or after 2027-12-31, despite legislative amendments intended to facilitate his deportation.
Source: user-generated
More legal markets
- Will Baviskar's trading accounts be permanently restricted by November 25, 2026? — 95% Yes
- Will Ichcoin Tech Corp. settle with the SEC within 90 days? — 75% Yes
- Will any individual respondent settle with the SEC before year-end 2026? — 30% Yes
- Will the SEC announce a freeze on Ferder's personal assets by November 30, 2026? — 70% Yes
- Will Bonanza Global investors recover more than $1M by November 2026? — 25% Yes
- Will at least one respondent comply with subpoenas within 30 days of court order? — 65% Yes
- Will the court impose a civil penalty on Chavez by 2026-12-01? — 90% Yes
- SEC drops enforcement actions against major crypto exchanges within 12 months — 55% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…