US and Iran agree to new de-escalation framework by 2026-10-31

Despite current tensions, both sides have incentives to avoid full-scale conflict. A negotiated de-escalation framework (e.g., ceasefire, renewed sanctions relief talks, or maritime security pact) is plausible within 3 months to prevent further economic and geopolitical damage.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-10-31

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