Sudan's conflict-driven displacements exceed 5 million by end of 2026

Market overview

Sudan, already the leader in 2025 with 3.2 million conflict-driven displacements, will see its total exceed 5 million by December 2026. This is driven by sustained violence in Darfur and ongoing clashes in Khartoum.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

80%

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