Eurovision bans Israel for 2028 due to ongoing Gaza conflict

Market overview

Given the intense backlash and protests during the 2024 contest, Eurovision organizers will face mounting public and political pressure to exclude Israel from the 2025 competition unless a ceasefire is reached in Gaza. Historical precedents for event boycotts, such as sports boycotts during apartheid South Africa, suggest institutional changes under sustained scrutiny.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2028-12-31

Source: user-generated

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