Trump publicly threatens NATO Article 5 exit within 12 months

During or immediately after the NATO summit in Turkey, Trump explicitly states that he will initiate a process to withdraw the U.S. from NATO's Article 5 mutual defense clause unless allies meet U.S. demands. This represents a significant escalation in rhetoric and could destabilize the alliance.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

42%

Closes

2026-12-31

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