US and Iran agree to ceasefire by end of July 2026

Despite recent escalations, diplomatic pressure from regional allies and international mediators will force both sides to reach a temporary ceasefire. The deal will include mutual de-escalation steps and a reaffirmation of the Strait of Hormuz's openness.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-07-31

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