Nigerian general election postponed or marred by scandal-related prot…

Market overview

The political fallout from the fake agency scandal will either delay the January 2027 general election or trigger mass protests that significantly disrupt voting in at least two Nigerian states by mid-January 2027.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2027-01-15

More event markets

• Scottish government orders Higher Maths exam review by November 2027 — 75% Yes
• Chuck Edwards resigns before probe concludes — 70% Yes
• Sudan overtakes Syria as top country for conflict-driven internal displacement — 85% Yes
• Witkoff Rubio-Qatar Deal Collapses Due to Geopolitical Risks — 60% Yes
• Kevin Kiley's petition fails to secure 218 signatures by end of 2026 — 65% Yes
• Frederica Wilson loses 2026 Florida primary bid — 62% Yes
• US Southwest faces record heatwave by May 18 2026 — 85% Yes
• Eurovision bans Israel for 2028 due to ongoing Gaza conflict — 55% Yes

Browse all event markets →