Saudi Arabia cuts oil exports to non-allied nations by 15% by year-en…

Market overview

In response to ongoing Hormuz Strait disruptions and shifting geopolitical alliances, Saudi Arabia will reduce oil exports to nations not aligned with its regional security initiatives by at least 15% by December 31, 2026, to prioritize supply to allied markets.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-12-31

More macro markets

• Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
• S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
• Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
• Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
• Canadian dollar weakens against USD by 10% — 75% Yes
• Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
• NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes

Browse all macro markets →