Global oil prices rise 15% within 60 days

Market overview

Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz will drive global oil prices up by at least 15% within 60 days. The closure of the strait disrupts key shipping routes, increasing supply risks and market volatility. Recent U.S.-Iran strikes exacerbate this trend.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-09-10

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