user-generated· geopolitics
U.S.-Iran nuclear deal talks resume by July 17 2026
Despite Trump's announcement ending the ceasefire, negotiations will restart within a week as Qatari mediators coordinate with U.S. and Iranian officials. The resumption will likely occur in Switzerland as previously indicated.
geopolitics · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 85%
- Closes
- 2026-07-17
More geopolitics markets
- Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in at least one major active conflict zone by Q3 2026? — 60% Yes
- Will global oil benchmarks (Brent/WTI) stay below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 55% Yes
- Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in a major active conflict zone by Q3 2026, leading to global oil benchmarks staying below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 30% Yes
- Lebanese government collapses by December 2027 due to crisis — 55% Yes
- US-EU diplomatic tensions rise over World Cup 2026 governance by October 2026 — 55% Yes
- UEFA formally condemns FIFA disciplinary committee actions by December 2026 — 72% Yes
- Western leaders will not attend Russia’s Victory Day parade in 2027 — 90% Yes
- Netanyahu’s influence on U.S. policy toward Turkey weakens — 75% Yes
Loading…