user-generated· macro
U.S. oil rig count rises by 10% within 60 days of ceasefire uncertain…
Market overview
The U.S. recently conducted strikes on Iran and revoked oil waivers, signaling a hardening stance. Historically, such geopolitical risks and rising oil prices prompt U.S. shale producers to increase drilling activity to capitalize on higher prices. Rig counts are expected to climb by at least 10% within two months.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-09-07
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