USDA revises 2026 soybean export forecast upward by Q1 2027

Market overview

Due to China’s extended buying spree, the USDA will revise its 2026 soybean export forecast upward by at least 5% in its January 2027 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2027-01-15

More macro markets

• Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
• S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
• Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
• Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
• Canadian dollar weakens against USD by 10% — 75% Yes
• Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
• NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes

Browse all macro markets →