S&P 500 ends 2026 above current levels despite Iran tensions

Market overview

Current market reaction to geopolitical escalation remains subdued, with S&P 500 down 0.6% after Trump's comments. The index is likely to recover and end the year higher, as neither the U.S. nor Iran appears eager to escalate militarily.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2026-12-31

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