Iran conducts new Strait of Hormuz attack within 14 days

Following the U.S. airstrikes, Iran is expected to retaliate with another attack on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz within the next two weeks. Recent escalations and the collapse of the MOU increase the likelihood of further provocations.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2026-07-21

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