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Will the United States and Iran hold formal, publicly acknowledged, direct bilateral talks regarding Iran's nuclear program by March 31, 2027?

Resolves: YES if the US State Department or Iranian Foreign Ministry publicly confirms that formal, direct bilateral talks between US and Iranian officials regarding Iran's nuclear program have occurred by March 31, 2025. NO otherwise.

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user-generated· World

Will the United States and Iran hold formal, publicly acknowledged, d…

Market overview

The headline highlights 'doubt over US-Iran talks' as a factor influencing markets. This question directly addresses the possibility of these talks materializing in the near future, which could de-escalate tensions and impact oil prices. It focuses on a specific, verifiable diplomatic event.

World prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
30%
Closes
2029-08-30

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the US State Department or Iranian Foreign Ministry publicly confirms that formal, direct bilateral talks between US and Iranian officials regarding Iran's nuclear program have occurred by March 31, 2025. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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