Iran maintains Strait of Hormuz closure through September 2026

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declared the Strait of Hormuz closed to all ship traffic on July 11, 2026. Given the recent escalation and lack of diplomatic resolution, Iran is likely to sustain this closure through at least September 2026.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2026-09-30

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