user-generated· macro
Global fertilizer prices rise 15% by August 2026
Market overview
India's contract sets a new benchmark for phosphate fertilizer prices, which are likely to ripple through global markets. Demand from emerging economies and supply constraints in North Africa will drive further increases.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
More macro markets
- Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
- S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
- Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
- Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
- Canadian dollar weakens against USD by 10% — 75% Yes
- Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
- NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes
Loading…