US and Iran agree new ceasefire by Aug 15 2026

Given the resumption of technical talks and Trump's acknowledgment of Iranian attempts to negotiate, the two sides are likely to reach a new ceasefire agreement by mid-August. The pressure to stabilize shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz will drive negotiations.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-08-15

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