user-generated· geopolitics
Netanyahu's approval rating in Israel drops below 30% by September 20…
Netanyahu's domestic standing has been weakened by escalating regional conflicts and domestic criticism. Given the ongoing political and security challenges, a further decline in approval ratings is likely by early September.
geopolitics · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-09-05
More geopolitics markets
- Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in at least one major active conflict zone by Q3 2026? — 60% Yes
- Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in a major active conflict zone by Q3 2026, leading to global oil benchmarks staying below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 30% Yes
- Will global oil benchmarks (Brent/WTI) stay below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 55% Yes
- Lebanese government collapses by December 2027 due to crisis — 55% Yes
- US suspends all off-duty hikes in Morocco for 2 years — 55% Yes
- Iran escalates Strait of Hormuz disruptions within 30 days — 75% Yes
- Western leaders will not attend Russia’s Victory Day parade in 2027 — 90% Yes
- Qatar announces formal agreement with Iran by 2027-Q4 — 70% Yes
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