Iran blocks Hormuz Strait shipping for 7+ days by Q4 2026

Iran will execute a partial blockade of the Hormuz Strait for at least 7 consecutive days by the end of Q4 2026. Increased regional provocations and US naval patrols will trigger this action, disrupting global oil supply chains.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-12-31

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