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user-generated· geopolitics

Ceasefire collapses within 30 days due to further trade attacks

The current ceasefire will fail to hold as US-Iran trade attacks escalate, with both sides launching additional strikes within the next month. Economic sanctions and retaliatory measures will intensify, drawing in regional allies.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2026-08-09

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