U.S.-Iran ceasefire signed by 2026-11-15

The memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran will formalize into a full ceasefire agreement by mid-November 2026, removing the primary geopolitical risk premium from Middle East oil supply. This follows sustained diplomatic efforts and OPEC+’s output normalization.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-11-15

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