Skip to main content

Desert rain frog population declines 30% by 2027 due to diamond mining expansion

Resolves: Independent scientific assessments confirm the desert rain frog population has declined by at least 30% from its 2026 baseline by July 9, 2027.

Make a pick
user-generated· price

Desert rain frog population declines 30% by 2027 due to diamond minin…

Market overview

Expansion of diamond mining in southern Africa will lead to a significant decline in the desert rain frog population within 12 months. Habitat loss and pollution from mining operations will directly impact the species' survival.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
80%
Closes
2027-07-09

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Independent scientific assessments confirm the desert rain frog population has declined by at least 30% from its 2026 baseline by July 9, 2027.

Source: user-generated

More price markets

Browse all price markets →

No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…